|Files to download
||What the Experts Say
of Historical Charts
- These PDFs are high resolution renditions of actual charts from the Topline Encyclopedia of Historical Charts. The actual charts
have the edition and chart number printed in the margin (between the holes for the three
ring binder), while most of these PDFs do not.
- V03h9706.PDF (48kb)
- Chart h from Volume 3:
Above or Below (10 & 30 week MAs, Chartcraft) of the June 1997 Encyclopedia.
This chart shows the NYSE Composite Average (daily) and the percentage of NYSE stocks
above their 30 week moving average (weekly, from Investors Intelligence). It is drawn
from 1973 to 1977, giving great detail.
- Chart h from Volume 4:
Advisory Sentiment (Chartcraft) of the June 1997 Encyclopedia.
Each week, Investors Intelligence
surveys independant stock market newsletters, classifying them as bulls, bears or
correction. This chart shows the NYSE Composite Average (daily) and bears expressed as a
percentage of the total of bulls and bears. It is drawn from 1973 to 1977, giving great
- Chart a from Volume 16:
Coppock Curves of the March 1997 Encyclopedia. The top panel of this chart shows
the daily Dow Jones Industrials since 1960, while the lower panels shows the Coppock Curve
of the DJIA. The Coppock Curve is a front weighted smoothed momentum oscillator. Because
it is front weighted, it reacts more quickly than smoothed momentum. Because it is
smoothed it is less prone to whipsaws. It is especially useful for identifying reversals
from emotional extremes typically bottoms in stocks and tops in commodities. The
details are covered in the explanatory notes for Volume 16. Other examples of Coppock Curves are
listed in Volume 16 as well.
- Chart a from Volume 17:
vs Long-Term MA of the March 1997 Encyclopedia. The upper
frame shows the DJIA and its 40 week MA, while the lower frame shows the ratio of the DJIA
to its 40 week MA, and the 40 week MA of that ratio. This indicator allows the
investor to place current price action in perspective by comparing the current oscillator
value with previous extremes.
- V20a9703.PDF (116kb)
- Chart a from Volume 20:
Comparable Log Scale of the March 1997 Encyclopedia. This Comparable Log Scale chart compares the entire
histories of the three Dow Jones Averages (Industrials,
Transportation and Utilities) drawn weekly. On this chart, a steeper line really does mean
that the average is outperforming. From 1942 to 1962, the DJ Utilities outperformed both
the DJ Industrials and the DJ Transports (details in the notes). And that is is without
including the higher dividends of the Utilities.
- Chart i from Volume 26:
Commodities (Energy) of the March 1997 Encyclopedia. This Comparable Growth Scale chart compares Crude
Oil (West Texas Intermediate), Unleaded Gas, Heating Oil & Propane since 1984 using
annual rates of change. This chart makes it easy to identify the differences between the
four fossil fuel price series. Propanes amplification of the price swings of the
others is evidenced by its higher and lower peaks on this chart.
- Chart i from Volume 28:
World Economies of the June 1997 Encyclopedia. This
five-panel chart examines the German economy. The first two panels show the annual rates
of change of real Gross Domestic Product and Industrial Production. The next two panels
show the annual rate of change of the Unemployment Rate and the Unemployment rate itself
(both series drawn inverted so that they rise when the economy is expanding, like the
first two). The last panel shows the Current Account. This single chart allows you to
easily see the swings in the German economy.
- Chart i from Volume 29:
US Demographics & Employment of the March 1997 Encyclopedia. This three-panel chart shows the employment in the major sectors of the
U.S. economy over the last half century. The top frame shows
the percent of non-farm payroll that is employed in the Goods producing sector of the US
economy. The middle frame shows the percent of non-farm payroll that is employed in the
Services producing sector. The lower frame shows the unemployment rate (unemployed as a
percent of the civilian labor force). Goods producing has
contracted (as a fraction of the economy) while Services producing has expanded.
- Chart k from Volume 29:
US Demographics & Employment of the June 1997 Encyclopedia shows the Japanese "Saver/Spender Ratio" overlaid on the
inflation adjusted Nikkei 225 (1960-97) This ratio fits the
Nikkei average quite closely.
- The "Saver/Spender Ratio" (a variation on the "Yuppie/Nerd"
ratio) divides the 40-49 year old population by the 25-34 year old population. 25-34 year
olds tend to be spenders (buying houses, raising children, etc.), while 40-49 year olds
tend to be savers that tend to invest aggresively in stocks. By dividing them, this ratio
attempts to represent the buying pressure on stocks due to demographics.
- Those that argue that the baby boom will fuel U.S. stocks until 2007 should examine this
chart and V29l (U.S. Saver/Spender Ratio overlaid on the inflation adjusted S&P 500,
1900-2050) closely. You may be in for a surprise!
- Chart c from Volume 30:
U.S. Consumer Price Indexes of the March 1997 Encyclopedia.
This Comparable Growth Scale Chart
compares the annual growth rates (inflation rates) of the major group, Apparel and upkeep
and three of its subgroups. Women's and girls' apparel pricing is more volatile than Men's
and boys' apparel.